Bulletin No. 20 (172) 2025
November 25, 2025Witkoff–Kushner Plan; Tokayev’s State Visit; FSB Expands Digital Controls; Schengen Visa Limits; New Technology Levy
OVERVIEW OF KEY TRENDS
IN FOCUS
A New Peace Plan
Where Does It Come From
Whose Plan?
Russian Reaction
The Plan
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS
The Kremlin Tightens Its Grip Over The Internet
FSB Gets More Power
Cooling-Off Periods
The Fate Of WhatsApp And Telegram
Centralisation
Russia-Kazakhstan Relations
Warm And Welcoming
Pragmatic And Multilateral
Friendship Under Strain
Visas Restrictions For Russians
Technology Levy
INDICATORS
Perceptions Of The War
Demand Stagnation
R.Politik RECOMMENDS
Kremlin.ru
Brief presentation
By the end of November, a maelstrom of developments had unfolded concerning Russia’s war against Ukraine. A leaked peace initiative—drafted by Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner—reflects, to a considerable degree, Russian demands, though its phrasing remains ambiguous even from Moscow’s perspective. We examine the extent of Russia’s input into the plan, the role played by Kirill Dmitriev, how the proposal has been received within the Kremlin, and what signals to watch for next.
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS
New Trump’s peace plan: Russian vision
FSB’s digital expansion: Security services extend control over online communications, sparking friction with Kremlin civil departments.
Putin–Tokayev meeting: Moscow balances alignment with Kazakhstan against the risk of secondary sanctions.
EU visa restrictions: Schengen tightening feeds domestic propaganda and weakens the Russian anti-war diaspora.
Technology levy: A new fiscal mechanism targets the IT sector, increasing economic pressure under wartime conditions.
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