October 9, 2018

Analytical bulletin #12 (13) 2018

Dear Readers,

We would like to present to you the next issue of the Bulletin #12 (13) 2018 «REALITY OF RUSSIAN POLITICS».

Table of contents 

EVENTS

  • Syria: Il-20 shot down and S-300 missile system delivered

ACTORS

  • Permutations in the Presidential administration

 New chief at the Foreign Policy Directorate

 Reform of the Directorate responsible for Ukraine, South Ossetia and Abkhazia

  • New regional governors
Bulletin Excerpt

Along with Aleksei Kudrin, German Gref informally consults Putin on economic, public administration, digital progress, and banking issues, arguing for a more transparent and open governmental system. Sberbank’s Corporative University serves as a platform for seminars organized byKremlin domestic policy handlers for regional and federal officials. This helps Gref build strong relations with the political establishment, particularly with Sergei Kiriyenko, who needs these instruments for grooming “new technocrat elites”. It is not surprising that Gref’s protégés are often promoted to regional public administrations. It important to underline that Western sanctions are increasing the state banks’ role, extruding business groups’influence on personnel policy. Vladimir Lisin’s business giant, the metallurgical company Novolipetsk Steel, failed for the first time in its attempts to promote a figure for the governor position in Lipetsk Oblast. 

PROCESSES

  • Decriminalization of Article 282 of Criminal Code
Bulletin Excerpt

The decriminalization of Article 282 shows increasing competition between domestic policy overseers in the Kremlin and the siloviki, who feel responsible for the current political stability and seek to prevent a real political opposition from forming. But for Kiriyenko, that approach carries more political risk while he aims to minimize polarization within Russian society and make political rhetoric more technocratic and less ideological. But it does not mean that Kiriyenko is looking for regime democratization. Moreover, he is attempting to implement a corporate approach to the political sphere which implies strong subordination, a power vertical, and integration of key political players into the Kremlin’s informal ruling mechanism.

 

The next bulletin will be issued on October 23.

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