Bulletin No. 9 (161) 2025
May 13, 2025Russia-Ukraine: A Pivotal Moment In The Peace Process; Victory Day In Moscow and Kursk Recapitulation; Russian-Chinese Talks; Kiriyenko's Growing Influence
OVERVIEW OF KEY TRENDS
IN FOCUS
Russia-Ukraine: A Pivotal Moment In The Peace Process
Putin Proposes Direct Talks
Tactical Shifts In Russia's Positioning
New Circumstances
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS
Victory Day In Moscow
Kursk Region Recapitulation
The US-Ukraine Mineral Deal
The Deal
Russian Concerns
Russian-Chinese Talks
Sergei Kiriyenko's Growing Influence
India-Pakistan Conflict: The View From Moscow
INDICATORS
The Teacher Shortage As A Long-Term Problem
Problems In The Agricultural Machinery Sector
R.Politik RECOMMENDS
Kremlin.ru
Brief presentation
The American “final proposal” to Moscow and Kyiv was rejected, and any potential US-brokered deal now appears doomed. Ukraine has closed ranks with its European allies to deliver an ultimatum to Russia, demanding a 30-day unconditional ceasefire, which has been rejected by Putin. In response, Moscow outlined a counter-proposal: sending negotiators to Istanbul and, in effect, resuming the talks that were broken off in April 2022. The developments suggest that the US role in trying to mediate the conflict is diminishing, leaving Russia and Ukraine with limited prospects for substantive negotiations. The risk of escalation is increasing.
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS
Victory Day in Moscow: How Putin Merges an International Event with a Pro-War Agenda
Kursk Region Recap: Putin Times the “Liberation” with Shifts in Ukrainian Tactics
The US–Ukraine Mineral Deal: Russian Concerns
Russia–China Talks: Moscow and Beijing Draw Closer
Sergei Kiriyenko: Growing Influence
India–Pakistan Conflict: The View from Moscow
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