Russia Unlikely to Invade Ukraine Despite Ratcheting Tensions, Experts Believe

Losses would be too great and gains too limited, analysts told The Moscow Times.

Moreover, with a fresh summit between the Russian and American presidents in the works, the Kremlin reportedly worries that Ukraine, if undeterred, may scupper the modest thaw in U.S.-Russia relations since June’s Biden-Putin summit in Geneva.

“The fear in Moscow is that Ukrainian hawks might opt for further provocations to try to pull Russia into a full-scale confrontation,” said Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of R.Politik, a political analysis firm.

In any case, experts stress that the 114,000 Russian personnel allegedly on the border would not be sufficient to defeat Ukraine’s armed forces, estimated at around 255,000.



Cookies & Privacy

By continuing to browse, you are agreeing to our use of cookies as explained in our Conditions générales.

Sign up for our emails!

Receive updates and news from R.Politik

Your email is safe with us, we don’t spam.