Expert Survey: Will the Outcome of Russia’s Elections Impact Its Foreign Policy?
Several points: (a) The elections create more grounds to raise the issues of “foreign interference” into Russian internal affairs. New criminal cases; more pressure on the media and, importantly, on foreign IT platforms. That may lead to growing tension with Western countries. (b) The campaign has weakened the stance of Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. He has become politically more vulnerable with growing chances to leave his post (maybe not today though). (c) Despite changes in the State Duma, the lower chamber will remain one of the most important advocates of hawkish approaches to foreign policy.