In the MEDIA

R.Politik CEO and founder, Tatiana Stanovaya, is regularly quoted by major Russian and international media outlets. She is available for commentary in Russian and English.

All articles published by Tatiana Stanovaya and R.Politik’s other editors and analysts will be included here. 

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Commentary for Carnegie Moscow Center

How the Duma Elections Could Decide United Russia’s Fate

By Tatiana Stanovaya,

September 17, 2021

The upcoming Duma elections could turn out to be United Russia’s farewell tour in its current lineup.

A glimpse inside the black hole of Russia’s corridors of power reveals that the fault line within the regime is getting deeper, and the current campaign for the upcoming State Duma elections on September 17–19 is one of the factors determining that line.

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Commentary for Carnegie Moscow Center

Purges and Professionals: the Transformed Russian Regime

By Tatiana Stanovaya,

June 9, 2021

The changes of 2020–2021 have proven so sweeping and profound that the Russian regime is undergoing a renaissance. Everything is now either pro-regime or anti-regime—i.e., criminal.

Few would contest that the Russian regime has taken on a new character. The resetting of the clock on presidential terms, the attempt on the life of opposition leader Alexei Navalny, and the avalanche of new bans and repressive measures all show that the mechanisms of the political system in Russia have dramatically changed.

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Comment for Bloomberg

Putin Crushes Last of Opposition Ahead of Parliament Elections

But the Kremlin is taking no chances, determined to ensure that the party wins another commanding majority in the State Duma, as the lower house of parliament is known. Putin has pitched in with promises of as much as 700 billion rubles ($9.6 billion) in pension and other spending this month.

“As long as the regime has enough financial resources, if it doesn’t make major mistakes that really stir up the population, it can survive,” said Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of R.Politik, a political consultancy. The Sept. 17-19 vote is its latest test.

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Comment for RadioFreeEurope

In Welcoming The Taliban, Kremlin Opens Door To A Host Of Criticisms, Diplomatic Uncertainties

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Comment for The Moscow Times

Russia Prepares for Duma Vote Under Shadow of Crackdown on Dissent

The outcome of parliamentary elections will hinge on whether a beleaguered opposition can cut through apathy to land some blows on the ruling party.

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Comment for The Financial Times

Lukashenko accuses west of trying to destabilise Belarus

Country’s leader seek to counter international condemnation for grounding of Ryanair jet

“Lukashenko has a compelling argument: Russia and Belarus have a common enemy in the west. Thus, you either support me or you eventually lose Belarus to the west,” said Dmitri Trenin, director of the Carnegie Moscow Center. Even so, the Ryanair incident may make Belarus a problematic ally for Russia, said Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of political consultancy R. Politik. “It’s one thing when you’re doing an integration project with a country that everyone else respects. It’s another thing where you’re embracing a state that nobody else recognises as legitimate.”
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Comment for The Financial Times

Russian elections: persecution, cash handouts and the Putin system

With support for United Russia at record lows, the government has launched a dramatic crackdown on dissent

The overriding goal of the president, say analysts, is to demonstrate that there can be no alternative to his leadership. Last year, Putin changed the constitution to allow him to extend his rule potentially until 2036, though he has not said whether he plans to run again. “Putin needs personal confirmation of his mandate and of the lack of alternatives to him. The election is another chance for him to convince himself that the people still support him,” says Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of political consultancy R. Politik. “He needs the elections to strengthen his place in the system and let the elite know that Putin is the only figure who can hold up the whole system and has a monopoly on deciding when to transfer power [and] who the successor will be,” Stanovaya adds.
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Comment for The Washington Post

Putin swaggers toward summit with Biden as an old hand at dueling with the West

June 15, 2021 at 8:47 a.m. EDT

The main point of the face-to-face for Putin, analysts said, is to express Moscow’s red lines while also reestablishing more typical dialogue with Washington after a tense first six months under the Biden administration.

“Maybe the most important thing is to make the relations more pragmatic,” said Tatiana Stanovaya, head of a think tank called R.Politik. “I don’t think the Kremlin is really counting on having some important progress during the summit, but much more important will be what happens after the summit. The Kremlin would like to create some mechanisms to interact.”

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Comment for The Washington Post

As Russian voting moves online, Putin’s foes say another path to curb Kremlin is lost

October 14, 2021 at 5:00 a.m. EDT

Even the veneer of electoral legitimacy now takes a back seat to full political control, according to Tatiana Stanovaya of the political consultancy R. Politik, who added that the Kremlin had taken a “strategic decision” to press ahead with online voting.

“The legitimacy of elections and this regime is not a problem any longer for this regime,” she said. “For Putin, his legitimacy comes from his achievements. For him, people must thank him by voting for him.”

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Comment for The Moscow Times

After Plane Crisis, Is Belarusian President Lukashenko Becoming a Troublesome Partner for Russia?

Analysts say Moscow’s muted reaction to the diversion to Minsk of a Ryanair flight speaks to the Kremlin’s ambivalent view of the strongman.

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