In the MEDIA

R.Politik CEO and founder, Tatiana Stanovaya, is regularly quoted by major Russian and international media outlets. She is available for commentary in Russian and English.

All articles published by Tatiana Stanovaya and R.Politik’s other editors and analysts will be included here. 

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Comment for Bloomberg

Who Saw the Collapse of the USSR Coming?

On the 30th anniversary of the fall of the Soviet Union, we asked historians, economists and political analysts why it happened, and what lessons it holds for Russia’s future.

Tatiana Stanovaya is founder and chief executive of political analysis firm R. Politik and a non-resident scholar at Carnegie Moscow Center.

There are at least three sensitive issues linked to the Soviet Union that have huge emotional meaning personally for Putin, and that the world should take into account when seeking to understand Putin’s motives. Firstly, he believes that Russia must be a unitary state and that the Soviet experience that implied national autonomies was a huge mistake. On several occasions, Putin accused Lenin of planting “a figurative bomb under Russian statehood by offering different nationalities their own territories and the right to secede,” “breaking down a 1,000-year-old state” — something that Putin believes he may restore and enforce. It shows how much Putin dislikes dealing with a federalized Russia and would rather deal with the country that governed as a single unit. It also demonstrates Putin’s strong fear of regional ambitions.

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Comment for The Globe And Mail
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Comment for The Wall Street Journal

Putin Blames the West for Ukraine Tensions During News Conference

Leader says Russia isn’t seeking conflict with neighboring nation, warns against NATO expansion

That Mr. Putin also kept the door open for negotiation was also significant, said Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of R. Politik, an independent political consultancy. “He doesn’t want Russia to look like a monster,” she said. “He wants Russia to be understood and he’s seeking for this understanding, some empathy. It’s important for him to sustain the image of Russia as a peaceful country that is ready for dialogue.”

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Comment for The Foreign Policy

Russia’s Last Political Freedoms Are on the Way Out

The trial to liquidate Russia’s best-known human rights organization is about much more.

By , a journalist focusing on European and Russian politics.

A new sort of Russian regime has emerged since 2020. “It is more ideological, conservative, and aggressive,” said Tatiana Stanovaya, a founder of Moscow-based political analysis firm R.Politik and nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Moscow Center. The roots of this new system can be traced back to 2016, when Russian President Vladimir Putin began handing more domestic policy power to security services as he became more involved in foreign policy, including in Syria and Ukraine. By 2020, Russia’s security services were responsible for controlling the non-systemic opposition—the real opposition, as opposed to pro-Kremlin parties and organizations that play their assigned roles in Putin’s so-called managed democracy). “[The government’s] policy against critics had been selective, but now it is indiscriminate and routine,” Stanovaya said. “Non-systemic opposition is seen as a national security threat and has lost the right to exist in the eyes of the Kremlin.”

War against the opposition has become a way of life for the Kremlin’s law enforcement agencies and armies of security officers. “It’s how they prove that they’re needed and that they serve the country well,” Stanovaya added. “If you don’t show Putin your willingness to fight against the enemies, the non-systemic opposition, it means that you yourself may be seen as an irresponsible political force.”

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Comment for The New Yorker

Why Is Russia Threatening to Invade Ukraine?

For Putin, the current standoff is a chance to overturn what he sees as an unjust post-Cold War order—and create a new one in its wake.

For the first two decades of his rule, Putin saw his own geopolitical maneuvering as essentially reactive, a response to what he and the Russian policy élite viewed as long-standing Western efforts to weaken Russia. “In Putin’s reality, Russia was encircled and under threat, and was required to defend itself,” Tatiana Stanovaya, head of the analysis firm R.Politik, told me. But, throughout the past year, that dynamic has undergone a fundamental transformation. In mid-November, Putin gave a speech at the Russian Foreign Ministry in which he said that Western states do not respect Russian interests or ultimatums, and the only way to get them to do so is by keeping tensions high and threatening force. “He made clear that Russia will no longer stand around whining and complaining about the injustices of the world,” Stanovaya said. “It is ready to act, to use force to stand up for its position. This is a principally different Putin, and a different Russia.”
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Comment for The Guardian

Russia edges closer to war as new arms arrive on Ukraine’s border

A recent sighting of Putin’s notorious Buk missiles on their way to the frontline does not bode well for talks

in Moscow
Sun 12 Dec 2021 11.45 GMT

“Even if Putin gets something from the west, serious talks or discussions about guarantees – will that be enough for Putin?” said Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of the political analysis firm R.Politik. “We are witnessing the dawn of a new geopolitical adventurism from Russia.”

Despite the Putin-Biden talks, the crisis is growing deeper.

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Comment for NPR

Biden-Putin meeting will delve into whether Russia plans to invade Ukraine

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Comment for Bloomberg

The Fall of a Russian Cyberexecutive Who Went Against the Kremlin

Ilya Sachkov, who’s been charged with treason in Russia, is alleged to have given the U.S. information about the “Fancy Bear” operation that sought to influence the U.S. election.

Group-IB tells Bloomberg its work in fighting cybercrime has relied only on official agreements or requests from law enforcement agencies, not informal relationships. Sergei Afanasyev, Sachkov’s lawyer, declined to comment on any aspects of his case.

“In Putin’s eyes, the most serious problem is traitors,” says Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of the political consulting firm R.Politik and a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Moscow Center. “He is full of hatred toward people who leak information.”

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Comment for BBC NEWS

Russia-Ukraine border: Why Moscow is stoking tensions

By Sarah Rainsford
BBC Moscow correspondent

Published 

Instead, they see the Kremlin sending a message that it’s ready to defend its “red lines” on Ukraine: above all, that it must not join Nato.

“I think for Putin it’s really important. He thinks the West has begun giving Ukraine’s elite hope about joining Nato,” political analyst Tatiana Stanovaya at R.Politik told the BBC. “The Georgian scenario is on the table and could be used in Ukraine,” Tatiana Stanovaya argues. “That doesn’t mean Russia is preparing it; that there’s no way back. I think it’s just an option for now, not a decision,” she says.

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The Real Russia. Today.

The Real Russia. Today. The FSB’s latest Ukrainian ‘spies’ and ‘terrorist’

Source: Meduza

Political analyst Tatiana Stanovaya says VK deal could fuel fighting in Kremlin between Gromov and Kovalchuk (“Gazprom is more of a formal partner than a political player” in this deal, and the key winner is Yuri Kovalchuk, Sogaz’s largest shareholder. “The expansion of Kovalchuk’s empire,” says Stanovaya, “may pose a threat to Alexey Gromov,” the Kremlin’s current mass media czar. Kovalchuk has a less “aggressive” approach to media, she says.)

 

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