In the MEDIA

R.Politik CEO and founder, Tatiana Stanovaya, is regularly quoted by major Russian and international media outlets. She is available for commentary in Russian and English.

All articles published by Tatiana Stanovaya and R.Politik’s other editors and analysts will be included here. 

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Comment for Quest France

L’opposant russe Alexeï Navalny dans le coma en Sibérie

L’avocat anticorruption, détracteur le plus en vue de Vladimir Poutine, a été empoisonné selon ses proches. Lors d’un déplacement à Tomsk, il aurait enquêté sur des élus locaux.

Le Comité d’enquête, qui dépend du Kremlin, se refusait hier à envisager la thèse de l’empoisonnement et le porte-parole de Poutine, Dmitri Peskov, a dit souhaiter le  prompt rétablissement  de Navalny. L’intérêt du président russe à voir disparaître cet opposant, qui sert d’alibi démocratique, n’a rien d’évident.  Il y a quelques années, on m’a dit que le Kremlin voyait dans le meurtre de Navalny un cauchemar… Une provocation dangereuse qui risquerait de déclencher des manifestations », raconte la politologue Tatiana Stanovaya.

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Comment for La Croix

Russie : l’opposant Alexeï Navalny entre la vie et la mort

Analyse

Le chef de file de l’opposition dite « hors système » aurait été empoisonné selon son entourage peu avant de prendre l’avion, jeudi 20 août. Il s’est fait beaucoup d’ennemis chez les oligarques et les figures du pouvoir en publiant des enquêtes sur la corruption au sein de l’élite.

Olivier Tallès,

Qualifié à longueur d’années d’escroc et d’agent de l’Occident par les médias du pouvoir, Alexeï Navalny est sans doute le seul opposant russe capable de mobiliser des milliers de jeunes militants à Moscou et en province où il dispose de bureaux et de relais. Des actions coup de poing sans lendemain qui n’inquiètent pas outre mesure les autorités : « Vladimir Poutine sous-estime Navalny, assure la politologue Tatiana Stanovaya, du groupe de réflexion R.Politik. Il en parle comme d’un manipulateur, un arriviste, mais pas une menace. Selon mes sources, le chef du Kremlin a insisté à plusieurs reprises en réunion sur le fait qu’il ne devait pas devenir un martyr, allant jusqu’à s’interroger sur la nécessité de lui assurer une protection discrète. »

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NPR quotes R.Politik telegram channel

Alexei Navalny, Voice Of Russia’s Opposition, Is Hospitalized In Possible Poisoning

Recent high-profile cases include the use of a Novichok nerve agent to poison former KGB spy Sergei Skripal and his daughter Yulia in the U.K. But Navalny’s possible poisoning also brings to mind the targeted killing of Kremlin critic and former spy Alexander Litvinenko, who died after drinking tea that was laced with polonium-210 in a London hotel.

But experts also note that because of his repeated successes in exposing corruption among high-ranking government officials and state-controlled companies, Navalny has a long list of enemies in Russia.

“Navalny could have been poisoned by anyone from a long list of ill-wishers,” Russian political analyst Tatiana Stanovaya said. “He’s garnered hundreds of enemies in the past few years, including some hardened individuals. And times are such that the cost of doing something like this barely matters.”

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FP mentions R.Politik telegram channel

Why Putin Might be Hoping Navalny Survives His Poisoning

The Russian leader is known to target opponents, but his involvement this time seems unlikely.

While Navalny has long been an irritant for the Kremlin, organizing large street protests and exposing high-level corruption by Russian officials, including former Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, experts were skeptical that it would be in Putin’s interests to kill him.

“I don’t believe this for a second,” the analyst Tatiana Stanovaya wrote on her public Telegram channel. “Some years ago I was told that Navalny’s murder was seen in the Kremlin as a kind of nightmare scenario—one that would be seen only as a dangerous kind of provocation that would spark protests.”

The timing of the incident makes the Putin theory seem especially unlikely—as the Kremlin juggles a large coronavirus outbreak, an escalating political crisis in neighboring Belarus, and unrest in the far-east region of Khabarovsk.

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Comment for The Times

Putin critic Alexei Navalny in coma after drinking  ‘poisoned tea’

The news seemed to affirm a long-held suspicion that Mr Navalny would face such an ordeal. A host of Kremlin critics, viewed by officials in Moscow as traitors or fifth columnists for the West, have suffered similar fates in recent years at home and abroad.

Tatiana Stanovaya, a prominent political analyst, said she suspected that Mr Navalny had been attacked by the subject of one of his investigations into corruption or one of “the regime’s guard dogs”.

“Someone might have attempted to protect the country’s ‘stability’ in a way that matched their own depravity,” Ms Stanovaya said. “Someone might have thought killing him would do the Kremlin a favour.”

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The Financial Times mentions R.Politik telegram channel

Navalny poisoning fits pattern of behaviour in Putin’s Russia

Opposition activist is latest Kremlin critic to be exposed to toxic substance

in Moscow

However, Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of political consultancy R Politik, said the Kremlin would view the death of Mr Navalny in suspicious circumstances as a “nightmare scenario” because it would be a “dangerous kind of provocation that would spark protests”. Instead, she wrote on the messaging app Telegram, “Navalny could have been poisoned by anyone from a long list of ill-wishers. He has garnered hundreds of enemies in the past few years, including some hardened individuals.”

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Comment for NYT

As the protests swell in the city of Khabarovsk, 4,000 miles from Moscow, residents who had never before found a public outlet for anger are becoming activists.

By July 28, 2020

“For now, society doesn’t appear to be so radicalized as to storm the gates, if you will,” said Tatiana Stanovaya, a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Moscow Center, a research organization focused on politics and policy. “But from my point of view, that is only a question of time if the authorities are not able to see what is really happening in the country.”

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Comment for AFP

Tens of thousands rally in Belarus despite pre-election crackdown

Tatiana Kalinovskay
AFP

Some analysts suggested the arrest of the Russians gave Lukashenko an excuse to crack down harder on the opposition while others said Moscow might indeed be considering some action.

Russian political analyst Tatyana Stanovaya said the Kremlin had not apparently given up on its unification plans.

Stanovaya quipped that the Russian fighters might have arrived in Minsk to “monitor” the election.

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Comment for The Financial Times

Kremlin accused of losing its touch as protests put Putin on back foot

Rallies over regional governor’s arrest leave Moscow looking unusually indecisive, say analysts

Henry Foy in Moscow JULY 29 2020

“The Kremlin has forgotten how to politically respond to issues like this. They are losing their ability to respond to societal discontent,” said Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of political analysis firm R. Politik. Under Mr Putin, the government has sought to maintain a strong grip on regional administrations. Fifty-nine of Russia’s 85 local governors are from United Russia and only a handful of the remainder are true independents elected with genuine local support.
Analysts said that the local nature of the demonstrators’ demands meant the movement was more galvanised and determined than previous national protest campaigns against issues such as government corruption, and bore similarities to protests in Moscow last summer against the arrest of a journalist, who was later released. “Society is beginning to impose itself on the Kremlin,” said Ms Stanovaya, “rather than it being the other way around all the time”.

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R.Politik’s Telegram post is mentioned in the Financial Times

Lukashenko rhetoric shows fallout between Minsk and Moscow

Arrest of 33 Russians comes as Belarusian president’s strategy of playing Russia and the west off each other founders
Rumours have circled in Russia for years that Mr Putin may have grander designs on Belarus. Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of political consulting firm R. Politik, claimed last week that Russia’s security council chief and the owner of Wagner, the Kremlin’s main mercenary group, were exploring “Belarus and Russia becoming a union with one currency, administered from Moscow” or even “completely integrating Belarus into Russia’s territory” as a province.

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