In the MEDIA

R.Politik CEO and founder, Tatiana Stanovaya, is regularly quoted by major Russian and international media outlets. She is available for commentary in Russian and English.

All articles published by Tatiana Stanovaya and R.Politik’s other editors and analysts will be included here. 

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Commentary for AFP

Sputnik vaccine aims to bolster Russia’s geopolitical influence

AFP, Dec 8, 2020

But analysts said the shot was about geopolitics as well as public health, designed to reaffirm the underlying message of Putin’s two-decade rule: Russia is back.

“It’s a way for him to prove that Russia is capable of developing complex technologies and being at the top of the world’s scientific elite,” said analyst Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of the R.Politik center, a political consultancy. Putin wants to show that Russia is at the “forefront of this pandemic and even more successful than developed countries,” she said.

India, Venezuela and Belarus have said they will partner for clinical trials and other Kremlin-friendly governments have pre-ordered more than one billion doses of the jab. But ultimately, Stanovaya said, there remains a question mark over whether or not the vaccine was actually effective since Russia was seen as using it primarily for geopolitical clout. “To have geopolitical dividends you need a successful product first,” she warned.

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Commentary for The Washington Post

Putin’s latest election dirty tactic: Label the opposition as ‘foreign agents’

November 20, 2020 at 10:35 p.m. GMT+1
Any candidate backed by Navalny would be automatically affected as his NGO, the Anti-Corruption Foundation, is already designated by the government as a “foreign agent” (over a bogus money transfer from Spain almost certainly organized by the Russian authorities themselves.) “Why don’t they just designate anyone who criticizes the government and uses arguments aligned with Western liberalism as a ‘foreign agent’?”, wrote political analyst Tatiana Stanovaya. “In effect, this is a ban on the liberal opposition in Russia.”
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Commentary for The Moscow Times

The Kremlin Tightens the Screws on Public Dissent

Russia has cemented sweeping new restrictions on political protests, social media and “foreign agents.”

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Commentary for The Financial Times

Talk of an early retirement for Vladimir Putin is premature

Speculation rose after parliament passed a law granting immunity from prosecution to former presidents and their families

Henry Foy NOVEMBER 23 2020

Tatiana Stanovaya, a Russian political analyst, reckons that while it is natural for Mr Putin to seek the comfort of protection should his presidency end, there is no connection between the new legislation and his possible retirement plans. “What we can say now is that he makes everything for us not to understand when he would resign,” she said.

Indeed, as a president who amassed near-total political power and then rewrote the rules to suit his plans, he is aware that any successor could do the same and make short work of any legislative safety net. “He could find a successor before, and he can today, and he is aware that he can never be sure that it’s not a mistake,” said Ms Stanovaya. “You will never be protected by your choice.” Until Mr Putin finds a way to solve that conundrum, talk of transition is premature. But for now, there is no harm in keeping his options open.

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Commentary for Al-Jazeera

Belarus: Will Lukashenko make it to another election?

While protest activity may be declining, analysts say Lukashenko may not last until the next presidential election.

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Commentary for The Times

Russians lose taste for Trump but show little appetite for Biden

The unpredictable US president has failed to deliver on promises to Vladimir Putin

Trump’s erratic presidency has, however, limited the Kremlin’s foreign policy strategies, Greene said. “Russia does things that no one thinks it is going to — it goes into Georgia, it goes into Ukraine, it goes into Syria — it keeps people guessing as to what its intentions are.

“But when the other side is Trump, you have a counterparty who is at least as unpredictable as you are, which makes it much harder for Moscow to calculate its risks.”

Other Kremlin officials will root for Trump simply because he sows chaos in America, said Tatiana Stanovaya, a political analyst: “It doesn’t really matter that Russia can’t get anything out of Trump during talks. What’s important is that his contradictory and destructive policies make the US more exposed and fragile.”

Outside the Kremlin’s walls, most Russians are indifferent. Almost three out of four people said the result of Tuesday’s election is of no real significance to Moscow, according to the Levada Centre, an independent pollster. One in three didn’t even know the elections were taking place.

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Commentary for The New Yorker

The Kremlin Prepares for a Biden Presidency

November 13, 2020

The prospect of Trump as the American President was a welcome turn of fortune, leaving Putin and those around him with a feeling of “hitting the jackpot in a casino,” as Tatiana Stanovaya, the head of the analysis firm R.Politik, put it. “It wasn’t exactly clear what would come of it, but there was a feeling of possibility all the same—that we have to try and use this opportunity.”

As the years went by, Trump’s short attention span and unpredictable zigzagging made a strategic approach to Russia-U.S. relations impossible. And, when he did act, his mercantile approach to geopolitics led him to favor policies that were opposed to Russia’s interests, as in the case of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline, which was meant to bring fifty-five billion cubic metres of Russian gas each year to Germany and onward throughout Europe. Trump, like previous U.S. Presidents, pushed Germany and other E.U. states to cancel the energy project; he wagered that Europe would then have no choice but to import American liquified natural gas. “There is not a single person left in the Russian élite who thinks we can achieve anything of substance with Trump as President,” Stanovaya told me.

“Relations with Trump were personal, based on chemistry and emotions,” Stanovaya said. “Whereas with Biden you aren’t so much establishing relations with a person but, rather, with a whole system.”

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l’Institut Montaigne

Où en est Vladimir Poutine ?

BLOG – 4 NOVEMBRE 2020

Il reste cependant que “Poutine vote pour Trump” selon l’expression consacrée. Selon une autre brillante politologue, Tatiana Stanovaya, l’actuel président américain reste le candidat des siloviki, qui voient en lui “l’instrument du chaos” ou encore “notre homme, même si cette thèse aurait perdu de son crédit depuis la rencontre d’Helsinki. Une autre école estimerait que le maintien de Donald Trump comporterait désormais “plus d’inconvénients que d’avantages“.

Ce serait une thèse répandue dans l`appareil diplomatique et parmi les experts qui conseillent le gouvernement (note : l’influence des diplomates et des experts sur le Kremlin est limitée). Enfin, une troisième ligne partirait de l’idée suivante : “plus les relations avec Washington sont mauvaises et plus se trouve justifié, sur le plan interne, un agenda conservateur et répressif, qui renforce les positions d’une partie de l’élite“. Selon Tatiana Stanovaya, la détérioration du climat intérieur – dont témoigne l’affaire Navalny – donnerait désormais plus de poids à cette vision.

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Commentary for CBC Radio

Joe Biden : l’ennemi que le Kremlin connaît bien

Vladimir Poutine attend les résultats officiels des élections avant de féliciter Joe Biden. Cependant, dans les coulisses du pouvoir russe, on se prépare depuis des semaines à un changement de garde à Washington, pour le meilleur ou pour le pire.

Tamara Alteresco (accéder à la page de l’auteur)

Selon Tatiana Stanovaya, fondatrice de la firme d’analyse R.Politik, il n’existe pas de vision unique au Kremlin sur les conséquences éventuelles d’une présidence Biden. Elle évoque même deux visions qui s’affrontent au sein de la garde rapprochée du président Poutine, dont une qui est d’avis que les quatre années sous Trump auront causé plus de tort que de bien à la Russie.

Il y a maintenant un espoir qu’une victoire démocrate puisse avoir au moins un avantage, celui d’éloigner les projecteurs de la question de l’ingérence russe et de rendre ainsi tout dialogue avec la Russie moins toxique.

Tatiana Stanovaya
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Commentary for CBC

Russian media serve up smugness, mockery after U.S. vote

Russia prepares for a Joe Biden presidency

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