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Bulletin No. 8 (160) 2025

April 22, 2025
Geopolitics and the Russian Budget; Russian-American Talks; Talks in Paris; Domestic developments

OVERVIEW OF KEY TRENDS

IN FOCUS

Geopolitics and the Russian Budget

  • Key External Risks

  • Current Fiscal Position

SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS

Russian-American Talks Continue

  • Meeting in Istanbul

  • Another Prisoner Exchange

  • Witkoff In Moscow

  • Lavrov’s Interview

Trilateral Talks in Paris

US-Iran talks

Domestic Factors

The New Old Deal

Russian Missile Strike on Sumy

VChK-OGPU Telegram Channel Deleted

Alexei Smirnov's Arrest

Pasha Technik's Funeral

Mizulina Vs Davankov

INDICATORS

  • Risks in Russia's Housing Market

  • The Economic Strategies of Russian Families

R.Politik RECOMMENDS

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Kremlin.ru

Brief presentation

Russia’s geopolitical “luck” following Trump’s election—and its implications for U.S.-Russian relations and the Ukraine conflict—also carries significant structural financial risks for Moscow, which is our main topic. Alexandra Prokopenko explains to R.Politik readers how the government must prepare for worst-case scenarios that could severely undermine Russia’s war capacity.

SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Russian-American Talks: Meeting in Istanbul, prisoner exchange, Witkoff in Moscow

  • Trilateral Talks in Paris: Washington prepares to abandon the peace effort if the final proposal is not accepted by Russia and Ukraine

  • U.S.-Iran Talks: contradictions in Putin’s tactics

  • Russian Missile Strike on Sumy: domestic implications

  • Deletion of VChK-OGPU Telegram Channel: a new effective tool to manage challenges in the social network

  • Alexei Smirnov’s Arrest: further signs of internal conflict

  • Pasha Technik’s Funeral: societal divisions and Kremlin concerns

  • Mizulina vs. Davankov: Intensifying Internal cracks

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