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Bulletin No. 15 (167) 2025

September 08, 2025
Alaska Outcomes; Putin in Beijing; Nuclear Rhetoric; Messenger Crackdown; Supreme Court Shake-Up; Gasoline Crisis

OVERVIEW OF KEY TRENDS

IN FOCUS

Russia And The US: New Developments

  • Shifting Tensions

  • Putin’s Calculations

  • Outcomes From Alaska

  • Russian Demands: Concessions?

  • After The Meeting

  • Security Guarantees For Ukraine

SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS

Nuclear Rhetoric – Russia And The US

Putin in China

  • The SCO Tianjin Summit

  • Putin In Beijing

  • Energy Developments

Max And Foreign Messengers Restricted

  • WhatsApp And Telegram Calls Blocked

  • Spreading MAX

  • Security Problems

  • Domestic Reactions

Igor Krasnov – The Next Chairman Of The Supreme Court

  • Putin’s Motives

  • Other Reshuffles Expected

INDICATORS

  • Gasoline Crisis In Russia

  • Russia’s Economy: Growing Challenges

R.Politik RECOMMENDS

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Kremlin.ru

Brief presentation

We analyse the Trump–Putin summit in Alaska, where Moscow secured tactical gains but failed to narrow the deep strategic gulf with Washington. Within four weeks, the situation reverted to stalemate: Trump threatens new sanctions, Putin continues the war, Ukraine holds the line, and Europe pursues elusive security guarantees. One should not expect decisive shifts, either on the battlefield or in negotiations.

SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Putin moderates nuclear rhetoric: deterrence remains central, escalation signals give way to cautious restraint

  • Putin in China: SCO summit in Tianjin and Beijing visit underline strategic dependence and bargaining asymmetry

  • Digital restrictions deepen: WhatsApp and Telegram calls blocked, MAX messenger promoted but resisted by users

  • Supreme Court reshuffle: Prosecutor General Igor Krasnov expected to become chairman, wider shifts to follow

  • We also look at the unfolding gasoline crisis and Russia’s growing economic fragility

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